{"id":39633,"date":"2025-05-12T11:35:34","date_gmt":"2025-05-12T11:35:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/12\/alibaba-stock-price-analysis-gears-for-a-surge-as-rare-pattern-forms\/"},"modified":"2025-05-12T11:35:34","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T11:35:34","slug":"alibaba-stock-price-analysis-gears-for-a-surge-as-rare-pattern-forms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/12\/alibaba-stock-price-analysis-gears-for-a-surge-as-rare-pattern-forms\/","title":{"rendered":"Alibaba stock price analysis: gears for a surge as rare pattern forms"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<p>Alibaba stock has surged from a low of $55.7 in 2022 to $123 as the company has benefited from several tailwinds like the artificial intelligence theme, the end of a regulatory crackdown by Beijing authorities, and its stock buybacks. This article explains why the BABA share price is about to surge ahead or after this week\u2019s earnings.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alibaba stock price has formed a golden cross<\/h2>\n<p>The weekly chart identifies a few unique patterns that may push the BABA stock price much higher in the long term. It has remained above the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since January last year. That is a sign that bulls remain in control for now.<\/p>\n<p>The other main thing is that the Alibaba stock price has formed a golden cross pattern, which happens when the 50-week and 200-week Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) cross each other. A golden cross often leads to more gains.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-kevinbatdorf-xeet-wp xeet-wp\">\n<div class=\"react-tweet-theme Prh5YO6Z7gkcGwVjnX1Q\">\n<article class=\"y3vyxk0KOdMgcSTtzERK\">\n<div class=\"lXRMjX2KYR7IZSOZPFbm\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\" class=\"nkzum3vS9EE0UMk6wIwD\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"gxuhzv6slGlIBy5JFjVm\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"gxuhzv6slGlIBy5JFjVm\">\n<div class=\"jM__a2FZ4FtvadsBSIC5\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"BwMePHrH3rvsmYE498nW\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\" class=\"oDvOSSsrnTspryAL9YVt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"YqFZOCD996i_gAbVzqfJ\"><span title=\"The Long Investor\">The Long Investor<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"k4aQ6nZmsk6GjbvjPKss FgA7vJPvpWgsyInO1FMI\"><\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"T65hgE51dyqUMzAY5hl0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\" class=\"jg4rjgPtL89uoWZw81FG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span title=\"@TheLongInvest\">@TheLongInvest<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"IulIEDncuBnezCKlPUfn\"><span class=\"f9i0GrOk4HWCqDStzGHE\">\u00b7<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/follow?screen_name=TheLongInvest\" class=\"X9KF8bvQvjpxMkEUAQSg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Follow<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\" class=\"VAKgDYwbCPjVtzvR7vsi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"View on Twitter\"><\/a><\/div>\n<p class=\"AdGEHCYjGQTkPV_D5imj\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BABA\" class=\"LuuFAn5qKGMLl5k1L76T\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BABA<\/a><span> perfect retest of the 50 WMA from above and has bounced from $95 to $129.<\/p>\n<p>Golden Cross on the Weekly MA&#8217;s is aligning nicely with their Earnings Report due this week too.<\/p>\n<p><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BABA\" class=\"LuuFAn5qKGMLl5k1L76T\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BABA<\/a><span> can still gain +200% from here, JUST to get back to its previous ATH in 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"cacqfhueggAloScon8Ff vbELv9queVpQp7_WI5IK\">\n<div class=\"lA2IAt33tV3Va0ux5nae\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\" class=\"cMOXrU0jLUAJlX48teJs qKjwtPPLFbJmZprUT2qh\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"qnLhJK8xTTrk0D3Cnl3W\" style=\"padding-bottom:48.673209741912025%\"><\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"_0kiDv1j1JHI8CF0Ntb_\"><a class=\"PF6M5QdjvCYeUIeL82Pw\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"8:20 PM \u00b7 May 11, 2025\">8:20 PM \u00b7 May 11, 2025<\/a><a class=\"EUWNvie68q0hB7x9gYil\" href=\"https:\/\/help.twitter.com\/en\/twitter-for-websites-ads-info-and-privacy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"Twitter for Websites, Ads Information and Privacy\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"r1nP5SJS7VNmWTX19Auq\"><a class=\"gcUKEvUouWctDVs4Uni5\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/like?tweet_id=1921616348276314268\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"Like. This Tweet has 274 likes\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"EYp9rp32FVnHEztzLqMG\"><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"aMeAuAqW2H34ePc2jorL\">274<\/span><\/a><a class=\"We700JQVK913TW5TZQk6\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?in_reply_to=1921616348276314268\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" aria-label=\"Reply to this Tweet on Twitter\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"SXNJIS9giXWKxuUsSwXx\"><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"qAurmX5F17a0m0GbrhOq\">Reply<\/span><\/a><button type=\"button\" class=\"EDcxfgdhQDFSaBs5yAxC\" aria-label=\"Copy link\" data-xeet-url-to-copy=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"O1W4EuB8WU92_ex7pGQT\"><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"ovn4FbJMqbXsfiK7gvth\" data-copy-text=\"{&quot;copied&quot;:&quot;Copied!&quot;,&quot;copyAllText&quot;:&quot;Copy link to Tweet&quot;}\">Copy link<\/span><\/button><\/div>\n<div class=\"cjgWV81BwLW_tK8FicCg\"><a class=\"tczCx_QJsiI5O2NPUrfI\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLongInvest\/status\/1921616348276314268\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span class=\"LW1dI56xN0L7kAXJota7\">Read 32 replies<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>A good example of this is to consider its opposite, which is known as the death cross pattern. BABA stock formed a death cross in September 2021 when it was trading at $170. It then plunged to a low of $55.7 in 2022.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Alibaba stock has also moved above the important resistance level at $117.60, the highest swing in October 2024. Moving above this price was notable as it invalidated the double-top pattern that was forming. It has also jumped above the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level at $116.18.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, the shares will likely continue rising as bulls target the next key resistance level at $148, the highest level in 2025. A move above that resistance will signal more gains to the 50% retracement at $183, up by 46% above the current level.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The bullish Alibaba stock price forecast will become invalid if it crashes below the key support at $96, the lowest point in April.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image inv-component-break-container size-large\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">BABA stock chart | Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/NYSE-BABA\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TradingView<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">More catalysts for BABA share price<\/h2>\n<p>Alibaba stock price faces more catalysts ahead. First, the company will be a top beneficiary if the <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2025\/05\/12\/from-escalation-to-reset-what-really-happened-during-the-us-china-trade-talks-in-geneva\/\">United States reaches a deal with China<\/a>. In separate statements, Scott Bessent and Donald Trump hailed the two-day talks even as they provided no details on what was discussed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>A deal between the two countries would help Alibaba because of the volume of goods it sells in the US. Many US businesses use Alibaba\u2019s website to source goods from the US, meaning that they would benefit from an agreement.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Further, Chinese officials may pitch purchases for American technology items like semiconductors as a way of narrowing US trade deficit. Such a move would include giving Alibaba access to chips from companies like NVIDIA and AMD.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The other bullish catalyst for the BABA stock price is the ongoing share repurchases. Data shows that the number of outstanding shares has dropped to 2.31 billion, down from 2.71 billion in 2020. Share repurchases help to boost a company\u2019s stock by increasing its earnings per share (EPS).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Analysts are <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/quote\/BABA\/analysis\/\">upbeat<\/a> about the upcoming earnings even as recession risks have remained. The average revenue estimate is 240 billion yuan, up 8.17% from what it made in the same period last year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The earnings per share is expected to come in at 12.8 yuan, up from 10.14 a year earlier. Alibaba has a long history of beating analysts estimates, meaning that it will likely do the same this quarter.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Alibaba stock is also fairly priced as it has a forward P\/E ratio of 12.2, much lower than the S&amp;P 500 average of 21. This valuation is also cheaper than other companies like Amazon and Chinese tech firms like Tencent and PDD Holdings.<\/p>\n<p>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2025\/03\/14\/reasons-alibaba-stock-price-is-surging-this-year-and-what-next\/\">4 reasons Alibaba stock price is surging this year and what next<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2025\/05\/12\/alibaba-stock-price-analysis-gears-for-a-surge-as-rare-pattern-forms\/\">Alibaba stock price analysis: gears for a surge as rare pattern forms<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/\">Invezz<\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alibaba stock has surged from a low of $55.7 in 2022 to $123 as the company has benefited from several tailwinds like the artificial intelligence theme, the end of a regulatory crackdown by Beijing authorities, and its stock buybacks. This article explains why the BABA share price is about to surge ahead or after this <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39634,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-39633","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-world"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39633"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39633\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39634"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}