{"id":41984,"date":"2025-07-27T11:38:32","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T11:38:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/27\/musk-hints-at-budget-model-y-but-analysts-doubt-its-impact-on-teslas-sales-downturn\/"},"modified":"2025-07-27T11:38:32","modified_gmt":"2025-07-27T11:38:32","slug":"musk-hints-at-budget-model-y-but-analysts-doubt-its-impact-on-teslas-sales-downturn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/27\/musk-hints-at-budget-model-y-but-analysts-doubt-its-impact-on-teslas-sales-downturn\/","title":{"rendered":"Musk hints at budget Model Y, but analysts doubt its impact on Tesla\u2019s sales downturn"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<p>Elon Musk\u2019s off-the-cuff confirmation that Tesla\u2019s long-promised lower-priced electric vehicle will closely resemble a stripped-down Model Y has done little to rekindle excitement around the brand. <\/p>\n<p>The remark came during Tesla\u2019s post-earnings call earlier this week, contradicting another executive\u2019s attempt to avoid revealing design specifics.<\/p>\n<p>While speculation about a cheaper Model Y has been around for months, Musk\u2019s casual comment\u2014\u201clet the cat out of the bag\u201d\u2014marks the first strong indication of what the new vehicle might look like. <\/p>\n<p>Yet analysts remain skeptical that such a move can meaningfully reverse Tesla\u2019s sliding sales and waning consumer interest.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s been over five years now since Tesla made its first Model Y delivery, and the only new model the company has brought to market in that time has been the Cybertruck,&#8221; said Garrett Nelson, equity analyst at CFRA in a <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/tesla-needs-a-blockbuster-ev-to-break-a-sales-slump-can-a-stripped-down-model-y-do-the-job-9a469d61\">MarketWatch report<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Tesla needs actual new vehicle models, not just updates to existing ones to get people excited about the brand again,&#8221; he said. <\/p>\n<p>Tesla\u2019s second-quarter deliveries fell to 384,122 vehicles, down from 444,000 in the same period last year. <\/p>\n<p>Even the refreshed Model Y, which launched earlier this year, failed to halt the decline.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Robotaxis, not new models, dominate Tesla\u2019s vision<\/h2>\n<p>Despite the long-awaited promise of affordable Teslas, the company\u2019s leadership barely touched on its vehicle lineup during the earnings call. <\/p>\n<p>The spotlight was instead on the company\u2019s self-driving ambitions and artificial intelligence initiatives.<\/p>\n<p>Musk predicted that Tesla\u2019s robotaxi service will be available to \u201croughly half the U.S. population\u201d by the end of the year. <\/p>\n<p>The company is also pinning high hopes on Optimus, its humanoid robot in development.<\/p>\n<p>Stephen Gengaro of Stifel noted that Wall Street\u2019s primary focus has shifted from vehicle sales to Tesla\u2019s autonomous vehicle technology. <\/p>\n<p>The &#8220;overwhelming key to the Tesla story over the next year is the success of its Unsupervised FSD technology and robotaxi traction,&#8221; Stephen Gengaro at Stifel said in a note Friday.<\/p>\n<p>He added that a successful expansion of robotaxi operations in Austin, Texas, and a few other US cities could be a major catalyst for the stock.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falling demand, political distractions weigh on brand<\/h2>\n<p>Even if a cheaper Model Y reaches volume production later this year, industry analysts warn that broader market dynamics are not in Tesla\u2019s favour.<\/p>\n<p>US consumers have shown growing interest in hybrids, while EV growth has stagnated in the face of higher prices and reduced government support.<\/p>\n<p>To make matters worse, Tesla\u2019s brand image has suffered from Musk\u2019s increasingly political posture. <\/p>\n<p>After previously aligning with conservative positions, the CEO is now feuding publicly with Donald Trump and threatening to launch a third political party in the US, potentially alienating both sides of the political divide.<\/p>\n<p>Some view lower-priced cars as entry points into a brand, but with consumers facing mounting pressure from rising prices and interest rates, brand loyalty has weakened considerably.<\/p>\n<p>Tesla\u2019s lower-priced vehicle will also be heavily reliant on sales of the Full Self Driving (Supervised) package, which starts at $8,000 or a $99 monthly subscription. <\/p>\n<p>But many potential buyers may be reluctant to pay the additional cost.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Wall Street trims expectations as tax credits end<\/h2>\n<p>The clock is ticking for EV makers, with federal tax credits for electric vehicles expected to lapse in September. <\/p>\n<p>Several investment banks have recently revised their Tesla sales forecasts downward in response.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley, for instance, adjusted its 2026 sales estimate to 1.85 million units, down from 1.89 million. <\/p>\n<p>FactSet consensus now expects just 1.65 million Tesla deliveries in 2025, compared to 1.79 million in 2024 and 1.81 million in 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts say the limited boost expected from a cheaper Model Y is unlikely to offset the drag from expiring incentives and growing competition. <\/p>\n<p>General Motors, for example, has announced plans to raise prices in North America by up to 1%, further pressuring the average car price, which now hovers around $48,000\u2014nearly $10,000 higher than in 2020.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Expansion of robotaxi in other markets likely catalyst for TSLA stock <\/h2>\n<p>Tesla shares have lost about 21% of their value this year, including an 8% drop following the recent earnings report. <\/p>\n<p>This contrasts sharply with the S&amp;P 500 index, which is up about 9% in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>The &#8220;overwhelming key to the Tesla story over the next year is the success of its Unsupervised FSD technology and robotaxi traction,&#8221; Gengaro said. <\/p>\n<p>A successful expansion of robotaxis in Austin, Texas, plus a potential rollout in a few other markets &#8220;is likely a catalyst for the shares,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p>While the notion of a more affordable Tesla may still hold consumer appeal, it appears that for investors, the future lies elsewhere\u2014likely behind the wheel of a self-driving robotaxi rather than a cheaper Model Y.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2025\/07\/26\/musk-hints-at-budget-model-y-but-analysts-doubt-its-impact-on-teslas-sales-downturn\/\">Musk hints at budget Model Y, but analysts doubt its impact on Tesla\u2019s sales downturn<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/\">Invezz<\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Elon Musk\u2019s off-the-cuff confirmation that Tesla\u2019s long-promised lower-priced electric vehicle will closely resemble a stripped-down Model Y has done little to rekindle excitement around the brand. The remark came during Tesla\u2019s post-earnings call earlier this week, contradicting another executive\u2019s attempt to avoid revealing design specifics. While speculation about a cheaper Model Y has been around <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":41985,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-41984","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-investing"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41984","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41984"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41984\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41985"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41984"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41984"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/quickassetsmarket.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41984"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}